2 min read

Terminology: asymptotically unbiased

The phrase asymptotically unbiased has at least two uses in statistics. Some people use it to mean that sequence of estimators θ^n of a parameter θ satisfies limnE[θ^n]=θ. I don’t think this is a very interesting property: it’s weaker than consistency plus existence of the first moment, and if you’re going to do asymptotics you should at least be able to ask for consistency.

I prefer to say θn is asymptotically unbiased if n(θ^nθ)dN(0,σ2) If you want a more general version, there’s some normalising sequence rn such that rn(θ^nθ)dX where X is a non-degenerate distribution with mean zero. Or maybe median zero. Something like that.

In other words, I want asymptotically unbiased to mean that the asymptotic distribution is unbiased, so that (in large samples) the bias is a negligible component of the mean squared error and we can compare estimators by their variances.

Estimators that aren’t asymptotically unbiased include density estimators, which optimally have n2/5(f^(x)f(x))d(δ(x),σ2(x)) for non-zero δ. BLUPs1 of random effects aren’t asymptotically unbiased under asymptotics where random effects are interesting. Lasso estimators aren’t asymptotically unbiased.

It’s interesting that there any naturally-occurring asymptotically unbiased estimators, and even more so that the efficient estimators in parametric models are asymptotically unbiased. There doesn’t seem to be any intuitive reason that this has to be true.


  1. Yes, I do know what the U stands for. Fight me.↩︎